Live prediction market odds for Mattia Bellucci vs. Luciano Darderi. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-02
Mattia Bellucci vs. Luciano Darderi — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-02. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Luciano Darderi leads the “Mattia Bellucci vs. Luciano Darderi” event at 75.3% implied probability, followed by Mattia Bellucci at 24.0%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
Mattia Bellucci vs. Luciano Darderi is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Luciano Darderi leads at 75% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Mattia Bellucci at 24%.
Luciano Darderi currently leads at 75% implied probability. Behind Luciano Darderi, Mattia Bellucci at 24% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Luciano Darderi: 75¢ on Kalshi, 76¢ on Polymarket. Mattia Bellucci: 24¢ on Kalshi, 25¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 75¢ means the market estimates a 75% probability that Luciano Darderi will be the outcome. Buying one share at 75¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 33% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
Luciano Darderi
75.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Mattia Bellucci wins the Darderi vs Bellucci professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Marrakech Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Darderi vs Bellucci professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Marrakech Round Of 16 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Luciano Darderi and Mattia Bellucci in the Grand Prix Hassan II, scheduled for April 1 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luciano Darderi' if Luciano Darderi advances against Mattia Bellucci. This market will resolve to 'Mattia Bellucci' if Mattia Bellucci advances against Luciano Darderi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
