Live prediction market odds for Mattia Bellucci vs. Raphael Collignon. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-18
Mattia Bellucci vs. Raphael Collignon — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-18. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Raphael Collignon leads the “Mattia Bellucci vs. Raphael Collignon” event at 58.5% implied probability, followed by Mattia Bellucci at 42.5%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
Mattia Bellucci vs. Raphael Collignon is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Raphael Collignon leads at 59% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Mattia Bellucci at 43%.
Raphael Collignon currently leads at 59% implied probability. Behind Raphael Collignon, Mattia Bellucci at 43% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Raphael Collignon: 59¢ on Kalshi, 58¢ on Polymarket. Mattia Bellucci: 43¢ on Kalshi, 42¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 59¢ means the market estimates a 59% probability that Raphael Collignon will be the outcome. Buying one share at 59¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 69% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Raphael Collignon wins the Collignon vs Bellucci professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Halle Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Collignon vs Bellucci professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Halle Round Of 16 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Raphael Collignon and Mattia Bellucci in the Halle Open, originally scheduled for June 18, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Raphael Collignon' if Raphael Collignon advances against Mattia Bellucci. This market will resolve to 'Mattia Bellucci' if Mattia Bellucci advances against Raphael Collignon. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Raphael Collignon
58.5% avg
