Live prediction market odds for Max Basing vs. Shintaro Mochizuki. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-29
Max Basing vs. Shintaro Mochizuki — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-29. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Shintaro Mochizuki leads the “Max Basing vs. Shintaro Mochizuki” event at 66.3% implied probability, followed by Max Basing at 33.0%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
Max Basing vs. Shintaro Mochizuki is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Shintaro Mochizuki leads at 66% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Max Basing at 33%.
Shintaro Mochizuki currently leads at 66% implied probability. Behind Shintaro Mochizuki, Max Basing at 33% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Shintaro Mochizuki: 66¢ on Kalshi, 67¢ on Polymarket. Max Basing: 33¢ on Kalshi, 34¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 66¢ means the market estimates a 66% probability that Shintaro Mochizuki will be the outcome. Buying one share at 66¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 52% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Shintaro Mochizuki
66.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Shintaro Mochizuki wins the Mochizuki vs Basing professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Men Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Mochizuki vs Basing professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Men Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Shintaro Mochizuki and Max Basing in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Shintaro Mochizuki' if Shintaro Mochizuki advances against Max Basing. This market will resolve to 'Max Basing' if Max Basing advances against Shintaro Mochizuki. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
