Live prediction market odds for Mitchell Krueger vs. Liam Draxl. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-03-29
Mitchell Krueger vs. Liam Draxl — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-03-29. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Mitchell Krueger leads the “Mitchell Krueger vs. Liam Draxl” event at 47.5% implied probability, followed by Liam Draxl at 53.3%. A 7.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Mitchell Krueger vs. Liam Draxl is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Mitchell Krueger leads at 48% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Liam Draxl at 53%.
Mitchell Krueger currently leads at 48% implied probability. Behind Mitchell Krueger, Liam Draxl at 53% are the next closest contenders. The 7.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Mitchell Krueger: 45¢ on Kalshi, 51¢ on Polymarket. Liam Draxl: 57¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 7.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 48¢ means the market estimates a 48% probability that Mitchell Krueger will be the outcome. Buying one share at 48¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 108% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
Mitchell Krueger
47.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Mitchell Krueger wins the Draxl vs Krueger professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Houston Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Draxl vs Krueger professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Houston Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Liam Draxl and Mitchell Krueger in the US Men's Clay Court Championships, Qualification, scheduled for March 28 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Liam Draxl' if Liam Draxl advances against Mitchell Krueger. This market will resolve to 'Mitchell Krueger' if Mitchell Krueger advances against Liam Draxl. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
