Live prediction market odds for Moise Kouame vs. Marin Cilic. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-24
Moise Kouame vs. Marin Cilic — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-05-24. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Marin Cilic leads the “Moise Kouame vs. Marin Cilic” event at 74.8% implied probability, followed by Moise Kouame at 25.3%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread.
Moise Kouame vs. Marin Cilic is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Marin Cilic leads at 75% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Moise Kouame at 25%.
Marin Cilic currently leads at 75% implied probability. Behind Marin Cilic, Moise Kouame at 25% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Marin Cilic: 75¢ on Kalshi, 75¢ on Polymarket. Moise Kouame: 25¢ on Kalshi, 26¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 75¢ means the market estimates a 75% probability that Marin Cilic will be the outcome. Buying one share at 75¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 33% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Marin Cilic wins the Cilic vs Kouame professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Cilic vs Kouame professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Marin Cilic and Moise Kouame in the Roland Garros ATP, originally scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marin Cilic' if Marin Cilic advances against Moise Kouame. This market will resolve to 'Moise Kouame' if Moise Kouame advances against Marin Cilic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marin Cilic
74.8% avg
