Live prediction market odds for Murphy Cassone vs. Alex Molcan. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-21
Murphy Cassone vs. Alex Molcan — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-21. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Alex Molcan leads the “Murphy Cassone vs. Alex Molcan” event at 57.5% implied probability, followed by Murphy Cassone at 42.5%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
Murphy Cassone vs. Alex Molcan is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Alex Molcan leads at 58% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Murphy Cassone at 43%.
Alex Molcan currently leads at 58% implied probability. Behind Alex Molcan, Murphy Cassone at 43% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Alex Molcan: 57¢ on Kalshi, 58¢ on Polymarket. Murphy Cassone: 43¢ on Kalshi, 42¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 58¢ means the market estimates a 58% probability that Alex Molcan will be the outcome. Buying one share at 58¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 72% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Murphy Cassone wins the Molcan vs Cassone professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Mallorca Qualification Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Molcan vs Cassone professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Mallorca Qualification Final after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Alex Molcan and Murphy Cassone in the Mallorca Championships, Qualification, originally scheduled for June 21, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Molcan' if Alex Molcan advances against Murphy Cassone. This market will resolve to 'Murphy Cassone' if Murphy Cassone advances against Alex Molcan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Alex Molcan
57.5% avg
