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Live prediction market odds for Murphy Cassone vs. Filippo Romano. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Kalshi / Polymarket

Murphy Cassone vs. Filippo Romano

2026-06-20

About This Market

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Murphy Cassone vs. Filippo Romano — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-20. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Filippo Romano leads the “Murphy Cassone vs. Filippo Romano” event at 63.3% implied probability, followed by Murphy Cassone at 37.0%. A 2.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
FR
Filippo Romano
63% Avg
Kalshi63¢
Polymarket65¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
62.5%62¢63¢37¢38¢
PolymarketPolymarket
64.0%63¢65¢35¢37¢
MC
Murphy Cassone
37% Avg
Kalshi38¢
Polymarket37¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
37.0%36¢38¢62¢64¢
PolymarketPolymarket
36.0%35¢37¢63¢65¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What is "Murphy Cassone vs. Filippo Romano" and why does it matter?

Murphy Cassone vs. Filippo Romano is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Filippo Romano leads at 63% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Murphy Cassone at 37%.

What is moving the odds on "Murphy Cassone vs. Filippo Romano"?

Filippo Romano currently leads at 63% implied probability. Behind Filippo Romano, Murphy Cassone at 37% are the next closest contenders. A 2.0% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.

What are the current odds for "Murphy Cassone vs. Filippo Romano" across platforms?

Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Filippo Romano: 63¢ on Kalshi, 64¢ on Polymarket. Murphy Cassone: 38¢ on Kalshi, 36¢ on Polymarket. The 2.0% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.

What does it mean that Filippo Romano is at 63%?

A price of 63¢ means the market estimates a 63% probability that Filippo Romano will be the outcome. Buying one share at 63¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 59% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
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Stats

Market Rulebook: Murphy Cassone vs. Filippo Romano

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Filippo Romano wins the Romano vs Cassone professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Mallorca Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Romano vs Cassone professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Mallorca Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market refers to the tennis match between Filippo Romano and Murphy Cassone in the Mallorca Championships, Qualification, originally scheduled for June 20, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Filippo Romano' if Filippo Romano advances against Murphy Cassone. This market will resolve to 'Murphy Cassone' if Murphy Cassone advances against Filippo Romano. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
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Spread2.0%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Leader

Filippo Romano

63.3% avg