Live prediction market odds for Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs. Daniil Medvedev. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Join our Discord for breaking news alerts, driven by real-time movements in prediction markets.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-04-27
This market resolved on 2026-04-27. Daniil Medvedev was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs. Daniil Medvedev — ATP Tennis match held on 2026-04-27. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Daniil MedvedevWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 1% | 0% |
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs. Daniil Medvedev was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Daniil Medvedev led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Nicolai Budkov Kjaer at 1%.
Daniil Medvedev held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Daniil Medvedev, Nicolai Budkov Kjaer at 1% were the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.9% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Daniil Medvedev: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Nicolai Budkov Kjaer: 1¢ on Kalshi, 0¢ on Polymarket. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.9% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 99¢ meant the market estimated a 99% chance that Daniil Medvedev would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 99¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 1% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Build a custom bot or arb alert system for the “Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs. Daniil Medvedev” event. All for free.
As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
Used by builders and traders in our 3K+ Discord community
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Daniil Medvedev wins the Medvedev vs Budkov Kjaer professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Madrid Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Medvedev vs Budkov Kjaer professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Madrid Round Of 32 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Nicolai Budkov Kjaer in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Nicolai Budkov Kjaer. This market will resolve to 'Nicolai Budkov Kjaer' if Nicolai Budkov Kjaer advances against Daniil Medvedev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Daniil Medvedev
99.5% avg
