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Live prediction market odds for Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs. Ilya Ivashka. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

Kalshi / Polymarket

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs. Ilya Ivashka

2026-03-29

About This Market

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Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs. Ilya Ivashka — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-03-29. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer leads the “Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs. Ilya Ivashka” event at 75.5% implied probability, followed by Ilya Ivashka at 25.5%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
No price history available

Live Markets

2 platforms
NB
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
75% Avg
Kalshi76¢
Polymarket75¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
75.0%74¢76¢24¢26¢
PolymarketPolymarket
75.0%75¢75¢25¢25¢
II
Ilya Ivashka
25% Avg
Kalshi26¢
Polymarket25¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
25.0%24¢26¢74¢76¢
PolymarketPolymarket
25.0%25¢25¢75¢75¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What is "Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs. Ilya Ivashka" and why does it matter?

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs. Ilya Ivashka is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Nicolai Budkov Kjaer leads at 76% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Ilya Ivashka at 26%.

What is moving the odds on "Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs. Ilya Ivashka"?

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer currently leads at 76% implied probability. Behind Nicolai Budkov Kjaer, Ilya Ivashka at 26% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.

What are the current odds for "Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs. Ilya Ivashka" across platforms?

Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer: 76¢ on Kalshi, 75¢ on Polymarket. Ilya Ivashka: 26¢ on Kalshi, 25¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.

What does it mean that Nicolai Budkov Kjaer is at 76%?

A price of 76¢ means the market estimates a 76% probability that Nicolai Budkov Kjaer will be the outcome. Buying one share at 76¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 32% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.

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Resolution Oracles

PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread1.0%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Leader

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

75.5% avg

Market Rulebook: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs. Ilya Ivashka

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Nicolai Budkov Kjaer wins the Ivashka vs Budkov Kjaer professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Marrakech Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Ivashka vs Budkov Kjaer professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Marrakech Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).

PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market refers on the tennis match between Ilya Ivashka and Nicolai Budkov Kjaer in the Grand Prix Hassan II, Qualification, scheduled for March 29 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ilya Ivashka' if Ilya Ivashka advances against Nicolai Budkov Kjaer. This market will resolve to 'Nicolai Budkov Kjaer' if Nicolai Budkov Kjaer advances against Ilya Ivashka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
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