Live prediction market odds for Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs. Ilya Ivashka. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-03-29
This market resolved on 2026-03-29. Nicolai Budkov Kjaer was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 96%.
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs. Ilya Ivashka — ATP Tennis match held on 2026-03-29. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Nicolai Budkov KjaerWINNER | 99% | 93% |
Ilya Ivashka | 1% | 7% |
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs. Ilya Ivashka was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Nicolai Budkov Kjaer led the market at 96% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Ilya Ivashka at 4%.
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer held the lead at 96% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Nicolai Budkov Kjaer, Ilya Ivashka at 4% were the next closest contenders. The 6.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer: 99¢ on Kalshi, 93¢ on Polymarket. Ilya Ivashka: 1¢ on Kalshi, 7¢ on Polymarket. The 6.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 96¢ meant the market estimated a 96% chance that Nicolai Budkov Kjaer would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 96¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 4% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Nicolai Budkov Kjaer wins the Ivashka vs Budkov Kjaer professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Marrakech Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Ivashka vs Budkov Kjaer professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Marrakech Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Ilya Ivashka and Nicolai Budkov Kjaer in the Grand Prix Hassan II, Qualification, scheduled for March 29 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ilya Ivashka' if Ilya Ivashka advances against Nicolai Budkov Kjaer. This market will resolve to 'Nicolai Budkov Kjaer' if Nicolai Budkov Kjaer advances against Ilya Ivashka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
96.0% avg
