Live prediction market odds for Nicolas Mejia vs. Adolfo Daniel Vallejo. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-29
Nicolas Mejia vs. Adolfo Daniel Vallejo — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-29. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo leads the “Nicolas Mejia vs. Adolfo Daniel Vallejo” event at 58.0% implied probability, followed by Nicolas Mejia at 42.0%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread.
Nicolas Mejia vs. Adolfo Daniel Vallejo is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Adolfo Daniel Vallejo leads at 58% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Nicolas Mejia at 42%.
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo currently leads at 58% implied probability. Behind Adolfo Daniel Vallejo, Nicolas Mejia at 42% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Adolfo Daniel Vallejo: 58¢ on Kalshi, 58¢ on Polymarket. Nicolas Mejia: 42¢ on Kalshi, 42¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 58¢ means the market estimates a 58% probability that Adolfo Daniel Vallejo will be the outcome. Buying one share at 58¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 72% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
58.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Adolfo Daniel Vallejo wins the Vallejo vs Mejia professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Men Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Vallejo vs Mejia professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Men Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Adolfo Vallejo and Nicolas Mejia in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adolfo Vallejo' if Adolfo Vallejo advances against Nicolas Mejia. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Mejia' if Nicolas Mejia advances against Adolfo Vallejo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
