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Live prediction market odds for Nuno Borges vs. Hamad Medjedovic. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket

Hamad Medjedovic Wins: Nuno Borges vs. Hamad Medjedovic

Resolved 2026-04-17

This market resolved on 2026-04-17. Hamad Medjedovic was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.

About This Market

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Nuno Borges vs. Hamad Medjedovic — ATP Tennis match held on 2026-04-17. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
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Final Closing Odds

2 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket
Hamad MedjedovicWINNER
99%100%
Nuno Borges
1%0%

Frequently Asked Questions

What was "Nuno Borges vs. Hamad Medjedovic" and why did it matter?

Nuno Borges vs. Hamad Medjedovic was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Hamad Medjedovic led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Nuno Borges at 1%.

What moved the odds on "Nuno Borges vs. Hamad Medjedovic"?

Hamad Medjedovic held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Hamad Medjedovic, Nuno Borges at 1% were the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.9% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.

What were the final odds for "Nuno Borges vs. Hamad Medjedovic" across platforms?

Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Hamad Medjedovic: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Nuno Borges: 1¢ on Kalshi, 0¢ on Polymarket. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.9% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.

What did 99% odds for Hamad Medjedovic mean?

A price of 99¢ meant the market estimated a 99% chance that Hamad Medjedovic would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 99¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 1% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread0.9%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Winner

Hamad Medjedovic

99.5% avg

Market Rulebook: Nuno Borges vs. Hamad Medjedovic

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Hamad Medjedovic wins the Medjedovic vs Borges professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Barcelona Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Medjedovic vs Borges professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Barcelona Quarterfinal after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market refers to the tennis match between Hamad Medjedovic and Nuno Borges in the Barcelona Open, originally scheduled for April 16, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Medjedovic” if Hamad Medjedovic wins the first set. It will resolve to “Borges” if Nuno Borges wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
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