Live prediction market odds for Nuno Borges vs. Luciano Darderi. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-25
Nuno Borges vs. Luciano Darderi — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-25. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Nuno Borges leads the “Nuno Borges vs. Luciano Darderi” event at 60.3% implied probability, followed by Luciano Darderi at 39.8%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread.
Nuno Borges vs. Luciano Darderi is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Nuno Borges leads at 60% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Luciano Darderi at 40%.
Nuno Borges currently leads at 60% implied probability. Behind Nuno Borges, Luciano Darderi at 40% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Nuno Borges: 60¢ on Kalshi, 61¢ on Polymarket. Luciano Darderi: 40¢ on Kalshi, 40¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 60¢ means the market estimates a 60% probability that Nuno Borges will be the outcome. Buying one share at 60¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 67% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Nuno Borges wins the Darderi vs Borges professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Mallorca Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Darderi vs Borges professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Mallorca Quarterfinal after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Luciano Darderi and Nuno Borges in the Mallorca Championships, originally scheduled for June 25, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luciano Darderi' if Luciano Darderi advances against Nuno Borges. This market will resolve to 'Nuno Borges' if Nuno Borges advances against Luciano Darderi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Nuno Borges
60.3% avg
