Live prediction market odds for Oliver Tarvet vs. Alexis Galarneau. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-24
Oliver Tarvet vs. Alexis Galarneau — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-24. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Oliver Tarvet leads the “Oliver Tarvet vs. Alexis Galarneau” event at 65.0% implied probability, followed by Alexis Galarneau at 39.0%. A 8.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Oliver Tarvet vs. Alexis Galarneau is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Oliver Tarvet leads at 65% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Alexis Galarneau at 39%.
Oliver Tarvet currently leads at 65% implied probability. Behind Oliver Tarvet, Alexis Galarneau at 39% are the next closest contenders. The 8.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Oliver Tarvet: 69¢ on Kalshi, 61¢ on Polymarket. Alexis Galarneau: 39¢ on Kalshi, 39¢ on Polymarket. The 8.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 65¢ means the market estimates a 65% probability that Oliver Tarvet will be the outcome. Buying one share at 65¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 54% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Alexis Galarneau wins the Galarneau vs Tarvet professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Men Singles Qualification Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Galarneau vs Tarvet professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Men Singles Qualification Final after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Alexis Galarneau and Oliver Tarvet in the Wimbledon, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for June 24, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexis Galarneau' if Alexis Galarneau advances against Oliver Tarvet. This market will resolve to 'Oliver Tarvet' if Oliver Tarvet advances against Alexis Galarneau. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Oliver Tarvet
65.0% avg
