Live prediction market odds for Otto Virtanen vs. Luca Nardi. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-24
Otto Virtanen vs. Luca Nardi — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-24. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Otto Virtanen leads the “Otto Virtanen vs. Luca Nardi” event at 71.0% implied probability, followed by Luca Nardi at 29.3%. A 1.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Otto Virtanen vs. Luca Nardi is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Otto Virtanen leads at 71% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Luca Nardi at 29%.
Otto Virtanen currently leads at 71% implied probability. Behind Otto Virtanen, Luca Nardi at 29% are the next closest contenders. A 1.5% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Otto Virtanen: 71¢ on Kalshi, 72¢ on Polymarket. Luca Nardi: 30¢ on Kalshi, 29¢ on Polymarket. The 1.5% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 71¢ means the market estimates a 71% probability that Otto Virtanen will be the outcome. Buying one share at 71¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 41% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Otto Virtanen wins the Nardi vs Virtanen professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Men Singles Qualification Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Nardi vs Virtanen professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Men Singles Qualification Final after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Luca Nardi and Otto Virtanen in the Wimbledon, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for June 24, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luca Nardi' if Luca Nardi advances against Otto Virtanen. This market will resolve to 'Otto Virtanen' if Otto Virtanen advances against Luca Nardi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Otto Virtanen
71.0% avg
