Live prediction market odds for Pablo Carreno Busta vs. Pedro Martinez. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-11
Pablo Carreno Busta vs. Pedro Martinez — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-11. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Pablo Carreno Busta leads the “Pablo Carreno Busta vs. Pedro Martinez” event at 59.3% implied probability, followed by Pedro Martinez at 40.8%. A 4.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Pablo Carreno Busta vs. Pedro Martinez is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Pablo Carreno Busta leads at 59% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Pedro Martinez at 41%.
Pablo Carreno Busta currently leads at 59% implied probability. Behind Pablo Carreno Busta, Pedro Martinez at 41% are the next closest contenders. The 4.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Pablo Carreno Busta: 62¢ on Kalshi, 57¢ on Polymarket. Pedro Martinez: 39¢ on Kalshi, 43¢ on Polymarket. The 4.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 59¢ means the market estimates a 59% probability that Pablo Carreno Busta will be the outcome. Buying one share at 59¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 69% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.
Pablo Carreno Busta
59.3% avg
