Live prediction market odds for Pablo Carreno Busta vs. Rafael Jodar. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-31
Pablo Carreno Busta vs. Rafael Jodar — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-05-31. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Rafael Jodar leads the “Pablo Carreno Busta vs. Rafael Jodar” event at 80.8% implied probability, followed by Pablo Carreno Busta at 19.5%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
Pablo Carreno Busta vs. Rafael Jodar is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Rafael Jodar leads at 81% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Pablo Carreno Busta at 20%.
Rafael Jodar currently leads at 81% implied probability. Behind Rafael Jodar, Pablo Carreno Busta at 20% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Rafael Jodar: 81¢ on Kalshi, 81¢ on Polymarket. Pablo Carreno Busta: 20¢ on Kalshi, 19¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 81¢ means the market estimates a 81% probability that Rafael Jodar will be the outcome. Buying one share at 81¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 23% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Pablo Carreno Busta wins the Jodar vs Carreno Busta professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Singles Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Jodar vs Carreno Busta professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Singles Round Of 16 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Jodar and Pablo Carreno Busta in the Roland Garros ATP, originally scheduled for May 31, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Jodar' if Rafael Jodar advances against Pablo Carreno Busta. This market will resolve to 'Pablo Carreno Busta' if Pablo Carreno Busta advances against Rafael Jodar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rafael Jodar
80.8% avg
