Live prediction market odds for Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs. Aleksandar Vukic. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-20
Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs. Aleksandar Vukic — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-20. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Pablo Llamas Ruiz leads the “Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs. Aleksandar Vukic” event at 79.8% implied probability, followed by Aleksandar Vukic at 20.3%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread.
Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs. Aleksandar Vukic is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Pablo Llamas Ruiz leads at 80% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Aleksandar Vukic at 20%.
Pablo Llamas Ruiz currently leads at 80% implied probability. Behind Pablo Llamas Ruiz, Aleksandar Vukic at 20% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Pablo Llamas Ruiz: 80¢ on Kalshi, 80¢ on Polymarket. Aleksandar Vukic: 21¢ on Kalshi, 20¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 80¢ means the market estimates a 80% probability that Pablo Llamas Ruiz will be the outcome. Buying one share at 80¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 25% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Pablo Llamas Ruiz wins the Vukic vs Llamas Ruiz professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Madrid Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Vukic vs Llamas Ruiz professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Madrid Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Aleksandar Vukic and Pablo Llamas Ruiz in the Madrid Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for April 20, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aleksandar Vukic' if Aleksandar Vukic advances against Pablo Llamas Ruiz. This market will resolve to 'Pablo Llamas Ruiz' if Pablo Llamas Ruiz advances against Aleksandar Vukic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
79.8% avg
