Live prediction market odds for Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs. Corentin Moutet. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-09
Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs. Corentin Moutet — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-05-09. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Corentin Moutet is priced at 22.5% implied probability for the “Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs. Corentin Moutet” event. A 43.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs. Corentin Moutet is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Corentin Moutet leads at 23% implied probability, making it the market favorite.
Corentin Moutet currently leads at 23% implied probability. The 43.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Corentin Moutet: 1¢ on Kalshi, 44¢ on Polymarket. The 43.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 23¢ means the market estimates a 23% probability that Corentin Moutet will be the outcome. Buying one share at 23¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 335% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Corentin Moutet wins the Moutet vs Llamas Ruiz professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Rome Round Of 64 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Moutet vs Llamas Ruiz professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Rome Round Of 64 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Corentin Moutet and Pablo Llamas Ruiz in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 9, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Corentin Moutet' if Corentin Moutet advances against Pablo Llamas Ruiz. This market will resolve to 'Pablo Llamas Ruiz' if Pablo Llamas Ruiz advances against Corentin Moutet. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Corentin Moutet
22.5% avg
