Live prediction market odds for Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs. Vilius Gaubas. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-22
Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs. Vilius Gaubas — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-05-22. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Pablo Llamas Ruiz leads the “Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs. Vilius Gaubas” event at 66.5% implied probability, followed by Vilius Gaubas at 36.0%. A 5.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs. Vilius Gaubas is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Pablo Llamas Ruiz leads at 67% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Vilius Gaubas at 36%.
Pablo Llamas Ruiz currently leads at 67% implied probability. Behind Pablo Llamas Ruiz, Vilius Gaubas at 36% are the next closest contenders. The 5.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Pablo Llamas Ruiz: 69¢ on Kalshi, 64¢ on Polymarket. Vilius Gaubas: 36¢ on Kalshi, 36¢ on Polymarket. The 5.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 67¢ means the market estimates a 67% probability that Pablo Llamas Ruiz will be the outcome. Buying one share at 67¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 49% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Vilius Gaubas wins the Gaubas vs Llamas Ruiz professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Singles Qualification Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Gaubas vs Llamas Ruiz professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Singles Qualification Final after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Vilius Gaubas and Pablo Llamas Ruiz in the Roland Garros, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for May 22, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vilius Gaubas' if Vilius Gaubas advances against Pablo Llamas Ruiz. This market will resolve to 'Pablo Llamas Ruiz' if Pablo Llamas Ruiz advances against Vilius Gaubas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
66.5% avg
