Live prediction market odds for Patrick Kypson vs. Arthur Gea. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-04-11
This market resolved on 2026-04-11. Patrick Kypson was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 71%.
Patrick Kypson vs. Arthur Gea — ATP Tennis match held on 2026-04-11. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Patrick KypsonWINNER | 99% | 43% |
Arthur Gea | 1% | 58% |
Patrick Kypson vs. Arthur Gea was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Patrick Kypson led the market at 71% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Arthur Gea at 29%.
Patrick Kypson held the lead at 71% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Patrick Kypson, Arthur Gea at 29% were the next closest contenders. The 56.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Patrick Kypson: 99¢ on Kalshi, 43¢ on Polymarket. Arthur Gea: 1¢ on Kalshi, 58¢ on Polymarket. The 56.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 71¢ meant the market estimated a 71% chance that Patrick Kypson would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 71¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 41% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Arthur Gea wins the Gea vs Kypson professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Barcelona Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Gea vs Kypson professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Barcelona Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Arthur Gea and Patrick Kypson in the Barcelona Open, Qualification, scheduled for April 11 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Gea' if Arthur Gea advances against Patrick Kypson. This market will resolve to 'Patrick Kypson' if Patrick Kypson advances against Arthur Gea. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Patrick Kypson
70.8% avg
