Live prediction market odds for Patrick Kypson vs. Sebastian Ofner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-04-12
This market resolved on 2026-04-12. Sebastian Ofner was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 97%.
Patrick Kypson vs. Sebastian Ofner — ATP Tennis match held on 2026-04-12. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Sebastian OfnerWINNER | 99% | 94% |
Patrick Kypson | 1% | 6% |
Patrick Kypson vs. Sebastian Ofner was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Sebastian Ofner led the market at 97% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Patrick Kypson at 4%.
Sebastian Ofner held the lead at 97% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Sebastian Ofner, Patrick Kypson at 4% were the next closest contenders. The 5.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Sebastian Ofner: 99¢ on Kalshi, 94¢ on Polymarket. Patrick Kypson: 1¢ on Kalshi, 6¢ on Polymarket. The 5.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 97¢ meant the market estimated a 97% chance that Sebastian Ofner would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 97¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 3% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Sebastian Ofner wins the Ofner vs Kypson professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Barcelona Qualification Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Ofner vs Kypson professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Barcelona Qualification Final after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Sebastian Ofner and Patrick Kypson in the Barcelona Open, Qualification, scheduled for April 12 at 7:45AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Ofner' if Sebastian Ofner advances against Patrick Kypson. This market will resolve to 'Patrick Kypson' if Patrick Kypson advances against Sebastian Ofner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sebastian Ofner
96.5% avg
