Live prediction market odds for Pedro Martinez vs. Adolfo Daniel Vallejo. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-04-20
This market resolved on 2026-04-20. Adolfo Daniel Vallejo was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 94%.
Pedro Martinez vs. Adolfo Daniel Vallejo — ATP Tennis match held on 2026-04-20. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Adolfo Daniel VallejoWINNER | 99% | 89% |
Pedro Martinez | 1% | 11% |
Pedro Martinez vs. Adolfo Daniel Vallejo was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Adolfo Daniel Vallejo led the market at 94% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Pedro Martinez at 6%.
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo held the lead at 94% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Adolfo Daniel Vallejo, Pedro Martinez at 6% were the next closest contenders. The 10.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Adolfo Daniel Vallejo: 99¢ on Kalshi, 89¢ on Polymarket. Pedro Martinez: 1¢ on Kalshi, 11¢ on Polymarket. The 10.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 94¢ meant the market estimated a 94% chance that Adolfo Daniel Vallejo would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 94¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 6% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
94.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Pedro Martinez wins the Vallejo vs Martinez professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Madrid Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Vallejo vs Martinez professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Madrid Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Adolfo Vallejo and Pedro Martinez in the Madrid Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for April 20, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Vallejo" if Adolfo Vallejo wins by 2 or more sets than Pedro Martinez, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Martinez." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.
