Live prediction market odds for Pedro Martinez vs. Adolfo Daniel Vallejo. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-20
Pedro Martinez vs. Adolfo Daniel Vallejo — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-20. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Pedro Martinez leads the “Pedro Martinez vs. Adolfo Daniel Vallejo” event at 50.3% implied probability, followed by Adolfo Daniel Vallejo at 50.0%. A 21.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Pedro Martinez vs. Adolfo Daniel Vallejo is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Pedro Martinez leads at 50% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Adolfo Daniel Vallejo at 50%.
Pedro Martinez currently leads at 50% implied probability. Behind Pedro Martinez, Adolfo Daniel Vallejo at 50% are the next closest contenders. The 21.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Pedro Martinez: 40¢ on Kalshi, 61¢ on Polymarket. Adolfo Daniel Vallejo: 61¢ on Kalshi, 40¢ on Polymarket. The 21.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 50¢ means the market estimates a 50% probability that Pedro Martinez will be the outcome. Buying one share at 50¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 100% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Pedro Martinez
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Pedro Martinez wins the Vallejo vs Martinez professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Madrid Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Vallejo vs Martinez professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Madrid Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Adolfo Vallejo and Pedro Martinez in the Madrid Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for April 20, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Vallejo" if Adolfo Vallejo wins by 2 or more sets than Pedro Martinez, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Martinez." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.
50.3% avg
