Live prediction market odds for Pedro Martinez vs. Daniel Altmaier. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-03-29
Pedro Martinez vs. Daniel Altmaier — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-03-29. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Daniel Altmaier leads the “Pedro Martinez vs. Daniel Altmaier” event at 53.8% implied probability, followed by Pedro Martinez at 47.5%. A 6.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Pedro Martinez vs. Daniel Altmaier is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Daniel Altmaier leads at 54% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Pedro Martinez at 48%.
Daniel Altmaier currently leads at 54% implied probability. Behind Daniel Altmaier, Pedro Martinez at 48% are the next closest contenders. The 6.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Daniel Altmaier: 57¢ on Kalshi, 51¢ on Polymarket. Pedro Martinez: 46¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 6.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 54¢ means the market estimates a 54% probability that Daniel Altmaier will be the outcome. Buying one share at 54¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 85% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
Daniel Altmaier
53.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Daniel Altmaier wins the Altmaier vs Martinez professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Bucharest Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Altmaier vs Martinez professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Bucharest Round Of 32 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Altmaier and Pedro Martinez in the Bucharest Open, scheduled for March 30 2026. This market will resolve to “Altmaier” if Daniel Altmaier wins the first set. It will resolve to “Martinez” if Pedro Martinez wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics.
