Live prediction market odds for Pedro Martinez vs. Juan Manuel Cerundolo. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-04-05
This market resolved on 2026-04-05. Juan Manuel Cerundolo was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 77%.
Pedro Martinez vs. Juan Manuel Cerundolo — ATP Tennis match held on 2026-04-05. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Juan Manuel CerundoloWINNER | 99% | 56% |
Pedro Martinez | 1% | 45% |
Pedro Martinez vs. Juan Manuel Cerundolo was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Juan Manuel Cerundolo led the market at 77% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Pedro Martinez at 23%.
Juan Manuel Cerundolo held the lead at 77% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Juan Manuel Cerundolo, Pedro Martinez at 23% were the next closest contenders. The 43.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Juan Manuel Cerundolo: 99¢ on Kalshi, 56¢ on Polymarket. Pedro Martinez: 1¢ on Kalshi, 45¢ on Polymarket. The 43.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 77¢ meant the market estimated a 77% chance that Juan Manuel Cerundolo would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 77¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 30% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Juan Manuel Cerundolo
77.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Pedro Martinez wins the Cerundolo vs Martinez professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Monte Carlo Qualification Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Cerundolo vs Martinez professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Monte Carlo Qualification Final after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Juan Manuel Cerundolo and Pedro Martinez in the Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification, scheduled for April 5 2026. This market will resolve to “Cerundolo” if Juan Manuel Cerundolo wins the first set. It will resolve to “Martinez” if Pedro Martinez wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics.
