Live prediction market odds for Pedro Martinez vs. Marco Trungelliti. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-04-12
This market resolved on 2026-04-12. Pedro Martinez was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 67%.
Pedro Martinez vs. Marco Trungelliti — ATP Tennis match held on 2026-04-12. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Pedro MartinezWINNER | 99% | 35% |
Marco Trungelliti | 1% | 66% |
Pedro Martinez vs. Marco Trungelliti was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Pedro Martinez led the market at 67% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Marco Trungelliti at 33%.
Pedro Martinez held the lead at 67% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Pedro Martinez, Marco Trungelliti at 33% were the next closest contenders. The 65.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Pedro Martinez: 99¢ on Kalshi, 35¢ on Polymarket. Marco Trungelliti: 1¢ on Kalshi, 66¢ on Polymarket. The 65.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 67¢ meant the market estimated a 67% chance that Pedro Martinez would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 67¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 49% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Pedro Martinez wins the Trungelliti vs Martinez professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Barcelona Qualification Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Trungelliti vs Martinez professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Barcelona Qualification Final after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Marco Trungelliti and Pedro Martinez in the Barcelona Open, Qualification, scheduled for April 12 at 7:45AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marco Trungelliti' if Marco Trungelliti advances against Pedro Martinez. This market will resolve to 'Pedro Martinez' if Pedro Martinez advances against Marco Trungelliti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pedro Martinez
66.8% avg
