Live prediction market odds for Pedro Martinez vs. Otto Virtanen. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-22
Pedro Martinez vs. Otto Virtanen — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-22. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Otto Virtanen leads the “Pedro Martinez vs. Otto Virtanen” event at 81.5% implied probability, followed by Pedro Martinez at 18.3%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
Pedro Martinez vs. Otto Virtanen is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Otto Virtanen leads at 82% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Pedro Martinez at 18%.
Otto Virtanen currently leads at 82% implied probability. Behind Otto Virtanen, Pedro Martinez at 18% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Otto Virtanen: 81¢ on Kalshi, 82¢ on Polymarket. Pedro Martinez: 19¢ on Kalshi, 18¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 82¢ means the market estimates a 82% probability that Otto Virtanen will be the outcome. Buying one share at 82¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 22% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Otto Virtanen wins the Virtanen vs Martinez professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Men Singles Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Virtanen vs Martinez professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Men Singles Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Otto Virtanen and Pedro Martinez in the Wimbledon, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for June 22, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Otto Virtanen' if Otto Virtanen advances against Pedro Martinez. This market will resolve to 'Pedro Martinez' if Pedro Martinez advances against Otto Virtanen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Otto Virtanen
81.5% avg
