Live prediction market odds for Pol Martin Tiffon vs. Gilles Arnaud Bailly. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-22
Pol Martin Tiffon vs. Gilles Arnaud Bailly — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-22. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Gilles Arnaud Bailly leads the “Pol Martin Tiffon vs. Gilles Arnaud Bailly” event at 51.5% implied probability, followed by Pol Martin Tiffon at 48.3%. A 1.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Pol Martin Tiffon vs. Gilles Arnaud Bailly is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Gilles Arnaud Bailly leads at 52% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Pol Martin Tiffon at 48%.
Gilles Arnaud Bailly currently leads at 52% implied probability. Behind Gilles Arnaud Bailly, Pol Martin Tiffon at 48% are the next closest contenders. A 1.5% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Gilles Arnaud Bailly: 52¢ on Kalshi, 51¢ on Polymarket. Pol Martin Tiffon: 48¢ on Kalshi, 49¢ on Polymarket. The 1.5% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 52¢ means the market estimates a 52% probability that Gilles Arnaud Bailly will be the outcome. Buying one share at 52¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 92% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Pol Martin Tiffon wins the Bailly vs Martin Tiffon professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Men Singles Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Bailly vs Martin Tiffon professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Men Singles Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Gilles Arnaud Bailly and Pol Martin Tiffon in the Wimbledon, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for June 22, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gilles Arnaud Bailly' if Gilles Arnaud Bailly advances against Pol Martin Tiffon. This market will resolve to 'Pol Martin Tiffon' if Pol Martin Tiffon advances against Gilles Arnaud Bailly. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Gilles Arnaud Bailly
51.5% avg
