Live prediction market odds for Pol Martin Tiffon vs. Pablo Llamas Ruiz. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Join our Discord for breaking news alerts, driven by real-time movements in prediction markets.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-24
Pol Martin Tiffon vs. Pablo Llamas Ruiz — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-24. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Pablo Llamas Ruiz leads the “Pol Martin Tiffon vs. Pablo Llamas Ruiz” event at 50.8% implied probability, followed by Pol Martin Tiffon at 47.8%. A 4.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Pol Martin Tiffon vs. Pablo Llamas Ruiz is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Pablo Llamas Ruiz leads at 51% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Pol Martin Tiffon at 48%.
Pablo Llamas Ruiz currently leads at 51% implied probability. Behind Pablo Llamas Ruiz, Pol Martin Tiffon at 48% are the next closest contenders. The 4.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Pablo Llamas Ruiz: 49¢ on Kalshi, 53¢ on Polymarket. Pol Martin Tiffon: 49¢ on Kalshi, 47¢ on Polymarket. The 4.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 51¢ means the market estimates a 51% probability that Pablo Llamas Ruiz will be the outcome. Buying one share at 51¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 96% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
Build a custom bot or arb alert system for the “Pol Martin Tiffon vs. Pablo Llamas Ruiz” event. All for free.
As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
Used by builders and traders in our 3K+ Discord community
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Pablo Llamas Ruiz wins the Llamas Ruiz vs Martin Tiffon professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Men Singles Qualification Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Llamas Ruiz vs Martin Tiffon professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Men Singles Qualification Final after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Pablo Llamas Ruiz and Pol Martin Tiffon in the Wimbledon, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for June 24, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pablo Llamas Ruiz' if Pablo Llamas Ruiz advances against Pol Martin Tiffon. This market will resolve to 'Pol Martin Tiffon' if Pol Martin Tiffon advances against Pablo Llamas Ruiz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
50.8% avg
