Live prediction market odds for Quentin Halys vs. Matteo Arnaldi. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-11
Quentin Halys vs. Matteo Arnaldi — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-11. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Matteo Arnaldi leads the “Quentin Halys vs. Matteo Arnaldi” event at 54.3% implied probability, followed by Quentin Halys at 47.5%. A 2.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Quentin Halys vs. Matteo Arnaldi is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Matteo Arnaldi leads at 54% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Quentin Halys at 48%.
Matteo Arnaldi currently leads at 54% implied probability. Behind Matteo Arnaldi, Quentin Halys at 48% are the next closest contenders. A 2.5% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Matteo Arnaldi: 56¢ on Kalshi, 53¢ on Polymarket. Quentin Halys: 48¢ on Kalshi, 47¢ on Polymarket. The 2.5% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 54¢ means the market estimates a 54% probability that Matteo Arnaldi will be the outcome. Buying one share at 54¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 85% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Matteo Arnaldi
54.3% avg
