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Live prediction market odds for Radu David Turcanu vs. Alexander Shevchenko. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket

Alexander Shevchenko Wins: Radu David Turcanu vs. Alexander Shevchenko

Resolved 2026-03-30

This market resolved on 2026-03-30. Alexander Shevchenko was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 84%.

About This Market

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Radu David Turcanu vs. Alexander Shevchenko — ATP Tennis match held on 2026-03-30. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
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Final Closing Odds

2 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket
Alexander ShevchenkoWINNER
99%69%
Radu David Turcanu
1%31%

Frequently Asked Questions

What was "Radu David Turcanu vs. Alexander Shevchenko" and why did it matter?

Radu David Turcanu vs. Alexander Shevchenko was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Alexander Shevchenko led the market at 84% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Radu David Turcanu at 16%.

What moved the odds on "Radu David Turcanu vs. Alexander Shevchenko"?

Alexander Shevchenko held the lead at 84% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Alexander Shevchenko, Radu David Turcanu at 16% were the next closest contenders. The 30.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

What were the final odds for "Radu David Turcanu vs. Alexander Shevchenko" across platforms?

Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Alexander Shevchenko: 99¢ on Kalshi, 69¢ on Polymarket. Radu David Turcanu: 1¢ on Kalshi, 31¢ on Polymarket. The 30.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

What did 84% odds for Alexander Shevchenko mean?

A price of 84¢ meant the market estimated a 84% chance that Alexander Shevchenko would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 84¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 19% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread30.0%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Winner

Alexander Shevchenko

84.0% avg

Market Rulebook: Radu David Turcanu vs. Alexander Shevchenko

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Radu David Turcanu wins the Shevchenko vs Turcanu professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Bucharest Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Shevchenko vs Turcanu professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Bucharest Round Of 32 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Shevchenko and Radu David Turcanu in the Bucharest Open, scheduled for March 30 2026. This market will resolve to "Shevchenko" if Alexander Shevchenko wins by 2 or more sets than Radu David Turcanu, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Turcanu." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
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