Live prediction market odds for Rafael Jodar vs. Marco Trungelliti. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-05
Rafael Jodar vs. Marco Trungelliti — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-05. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Rafael Jodar leads the “Rafael Jodar vs. Marco Trungelliti” event at 71.5% implied probability, followed by Marco Trungelliti at 29.0%. A 9.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Rafael Jodar vs. Marco Trungelliti is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Rafael Jodar leads at 72% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Marco Trungelliti at 29%.
Rafael Jodar currently leads at 72% implied probability. Behind Rafael Jodar, Marco Trungelliti at 29% are the next closest contenders. The 9.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Rafael Jodar: 76¢ on Kalshi, 67¢ on Polymarket. Marco Trungelliti: 25¢ on Kalshi, 33¢ on Polymarket. The 9.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 72¢ means the market estimates a 72% probability that Rafael Jodar will be the outcome. Buying one share at 72¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 39% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.
Rafael Jodar
71.5% avg
