Live prediction market odds for Rafael Jodar vs. Matteo Arnaldi. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-10
Rafael Jodar vs. Matteo Arnaldi — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-05-10. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Rafael Jodar leads the “Rafael Jodar vs. Matteo Arnaldi” event at 75.3% implied probability, followed by Matteo Arnaldi at 25.3%. A 1.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Rafael Jodar vs. Matteo Arnaldi is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Rafael Jodar leads at 75% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Matteo Arnaldi at 25%.
Rafael Jodar currently leads at 75% implied probability. Behind Rafael Jodar, Matteo Arnaldi at 25% are the next closest contenders. A 1.5% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Rafael Jodar: 75¢ on Kalshi, 76¢ on Polymarket. Matteo Arnaldi: 26¢ on Kalshi, 25¢ on Polymarket. The 1.5% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 75¢ means the market estimates a 75% probability that Rafael Jodar will be the outcome. Buying one share at 75¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 33% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Rafael Jodar
75.3% avg
