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Live prediction market odds for Rei Sakamoto vs. Marco Trungelliti. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
Sign-up bonus

Trade $20, get $20

Sign-up bonus on Kalshi. T&Cs apply.

Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Jun 17, 2026Last used 14 mins ago2 min avg claim

MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket

Marco Trungelliti Wins: Rei Sakamoto vs. Marco Trungelliti

Resolved 2026-03-29

This market resolved on 2026-03-29. Marco Trungelliti was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 81%.

About This Market

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Rei Sakamoto vs. Marco Trungelliti — ATP Tennis match held on 2026-03-29. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
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Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
Sign-up bonus

Trade $20, get $20

Sign-up bonus on Kalshi. T&Cs apply.

Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Jun 17, 2026Last used 14 mins ago2 min avg claim

Final Closing Odds

2 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket
Marco TrungellitiWINNER
99%63%
Rei Sakamoto
1%37%

Frequently Asked Questions

What was "Rei Sakamoto vs. Marco Trungelliti" and why did it matter?

Rei Sakamoto vs. Marco Trungelliti was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Marco Trungelliti led the market at 81% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Rei Sakamoto at 19%.

What moved the odds on "Rei Sakamoto vs. Marco Trungelliti"?

Marco Trungelliti held the lead at 81% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Marco Trungelliti, Rei Sakamoto at 19% were the next closest contenders. The 36.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

What were the final odds for "Rei Sakamoto vs. Marco Trungelliti" across platforms?

Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Marco Trungelliti: 99¢ on Kalshi, 63¢ on Polymarket. Rei Sakamoto: 1¢ on Kalshi, 37¢ on Polymarket. The 36.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

What did 81% odds for Marco Trungelliti mean?

A price of 81¢ meant the market estimated a 81% chance that Marco Trungelliti would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 81¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 23% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread36.0%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Winner

Marco Trungelliti

81.0% avg

Market Rulebook: Rei Sakamoto vs. Marco Trungelliti

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Rei Sakamoto wins the Trungelliti vs Sakamoto professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Marrakech Qualification Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Trungelliti vs Sakamoto professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Marrakech Qualification Final after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market refers on the tennis match between Marco Trungelliti and Rei Sakamoto in the Grand Prix Hassan II, Qualification, scheduled for March 30 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marco Trungelliti' if Marco Trungelliti advances against Rei Sakamoto. This market will resolve to 'Rei Sakamoto' if Rei Sakamoto advances against Marco Trungelliti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
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