Live prediction market odds for Roberto Carballes Baena vs. Mackenzie McDonald. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-24
Roberto Carballes Baena vs. Mackenzie McDonald — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-24. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Mackenzie McDonald leads the “Roberto Carballes Baena vs. Mackenzie McDonald” event at 64.0% implied probability, followed by Roberto Carballes Baena at 36.5%. A 2.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Roberto Carballes Baena vs. Mackenzie McDonald is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Mackenzie McDonald leads at 64% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Roberto Carballes Baena at 37%.
Mackenzie McDonald currently leads at 64% implied probability. Behind Mackenzie McDonald, Roberto Carballes Baena at 37% are the next closest contenders. A 2.0% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Mackenzie McDonald: 65¢ on Kalshi, 63¢ on Polymarket. Roberto Carballes Baena: 36¢ on Kalshi, 37¢ on Polymarket. The 2.0% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 64¢ means the market estimates a 64% probability that Mackenzie McDonald will be the outcome. Buying one share at 64¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 56% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Roberto Carballes Baena wins the McDonald vs Carballes Baena professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Men Singles Qualification Round 2 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the McDonald vs Carballes Baena professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Men Singles Qualification Round 2 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Mackenzie McDonald and Roberto Carballes Baena in the Wimbledon, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for June 24, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mackenzie McDonald' if Mackenzie McDonald advances against Roberto Carballes Baena. This market will resolve to 'Roberto Carballes Baena' if Roberto Carballes Baena advances against Mackenzie McDonald. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mackenzie McDonald
64.0% avg
