Live prediction market odds for Roberto Carballes Baena vs. Mark Ceban. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-22
Roberto Carballes Baena vs. Mark Ceban — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-22. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Roberto Carballes Baena leads the “Roberto Carballes Baena vs. Mark Ceban” event at 87.0% implied probability, followed by Mark Ceban at 13.0%. A 2.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Roberto Carballes Baena vs. Mark Ceban is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Roberto Carballes Baena leads at 87% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Mark Ceban at 13%.
Roberto Carballes Baena currently leads at 87% implied probability. Behind Roberto Carballes Baena, Mark Ceban at 13% are the next closest contenders. A 2.0% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Roberto Carballes Baena: 88¢ on Kalshi, 86¢ on Polymarket. Mark Ceban: 12¢ on Kalshi, 14¢ on Polymarket. The 2.0% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 87¢ means the market estimates a 87% probability that Roberto Carballes Baena will be the outcome. Buying one share at 87¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 15% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Mark Ceban wins the Ceban vs Carballes Baena professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Men Singles Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Ceban vs Carballes Baena professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Men Singles Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Mark Ceban and Roberto Carballes Baena in the Wimbledon, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for June 22, 2026 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mark Ceban' if Mark Ceban advances against Roberto Carballes Baena. This market will resolve to 'Roberto Carballes Baena' if Roberto Carballes Baena advances against Mark Ceban. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Roberto Carballes Baena
87.0% avg
