Live prediction market odds for Sebastian Baez vs. Jan-Lennard Struff. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-29
Sebastian Baez vs. Jan-Lennard Struff — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-29. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Jan-Lennard Struff leads the “Sebastian Baez vs. Jan-Lennard Struff” event at 68.3% implied probability, followed by Sebastian Baez at 31.8%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread.
Sebastian Baez vs. Jan-Lennard Struff is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Jan-Lennard Struff leads at 68% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Sebastian Baez at 32%.
Jan-Lennard Struff currently leads at 68% implied probability. Behind Jan-Lennard Struff, Sebastian Baez at 32% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Jan-Lennard Struff: 69¢ on Kalshi, 68¢ on Polymarket. Sebastian Baez: 32¢ on Kalshi, 32¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 68¢ means the market estimates a 68% probability that Jan-Lennard Struff will be the outcome. Buying one share at 68¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 47% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Jan-Lennard Struff
68.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Sebastian Baez wins the Struff vs Baez professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Men Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Struff vs Baez professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Men Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Jan-Lennard Struff and Sebastian Baez in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jan-Lennard Struff' if Jan-Lennard Struff advances against Sebastian Baez. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Baez' if Sebastian Baez advances against Jan-Lennard Struff. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
