Live prediction market odds for Sebastian Baez vs. Tomas Machac. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-13
Sebastian Baez vs. Tomas Machac — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-13. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Tomas Machac leads the “Sebastian Baez vs. Tomas Machac” event at 52.8% implied probability, followed by Sebastian Baez at 46.8%. A 1.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Sebastian Baez vs. Tomas Machac is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Tomas Machac leads at 53% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Sebastian Baez at 47%.
Tomas Machac currently leads at 53% implied probability. Behind Tomas Machac, Sebastian Baez at 47% are the next closest contenders. A 1.5% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Tomas Machac: 52¢ on Kalshi, 54¢ on Polymarket. Sebastian Baez: 47¢ on Kalshi, 47¢ on Polymarket. The 1.5% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 53¢ means the market estimates a 53% probability that Tomas Machac will be the outcome. Buying one share at 53¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 89% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.
Tomas Machac
52.8% avg
