Live prediction market odds for Shintaro Mochizuki vs. Vitaliy Sachko. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-22
Shintaro Mochizuki vs. Vitaliy Sachko — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-22. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Shintaro Mochizuki leads the “Shintaro Mochizuki vs. Vitaliy Sachko” event at 69.5% implied probability, followed by Vitaliy Sachko at 30.8%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
Shintaro Mochizuki vs. Vitaliy Sachko is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Shintaro Mochizuki leads at 70% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Vitaliy Sachko at 31%.
Shintaro Mochizuki currently leads at 70% implied probability. Behind Shintaro Mochizuki, Vitaliy Sachko at 31% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Shintaro Mochizuki: 70¢ on Kalshi, 69¢ on Polymarket. Vitaliy Sachko: 31¢ on Kalshi, 31¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 70¢ means the market estimates a 70% probability that Shintaro Mochizuki will be the outcome. Buying one share at 70¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 43% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Shintaro Mochizuki wins the Sachko vs Mochizuki professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Men Singles Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Sachko vs Mochizuki professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Men Singles Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Vitaliy Sachko and Shintaro Mochizuki in the Wimbledon, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for June 22, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vitaliy Sachko' if Vitaliy Sachko advances against Shintaro Mochizuki. This market will resolve to 'Shintaro Mochizuki' if Shintaro Mochizuki advances against Vitaliy Sachko. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Shintaro Mochizuki
69.5% avg
