Live prediction market odds for Stan Wawrinka vs. Sebastian Baez. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-06
Stan Wawrinka vs. Sebastian Baez — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-06. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Sebastian Baez leads the “Stan Wawrinka vs. Sebastian Baez” event at 71.0% implied probability, followed by Stan Wawrinka at 29.3%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
Stan Wawrinka vs. Sebastian Baez is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Sebastian Baez leads at 71% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Stan Wawrinka at 29%.
Sebastian Baez currently leads at 71% implied probability. Behind Sebastian Baez, Stan Wawrinka at 29% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Sebastian Baez: 72¢ on Kalshi, 71¢ on Polymarket. Stan Wawrinka: 29¢ on Kalshi, 30¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 71¢ means the market estimates a 71% probability that Sebastian Baez will be the outcome. Buying one share at 71¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 41% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.
Sebastian Baez
71.0% avg
