Live prediction market odds for Stefano Travaglia vs. Dimitar Kuzmanov. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-03-30
This market resolved on 2026-03-30. Dimitar Kuzmanov was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 64%.
Stefano Travaglia vs. Dimitar Kuzmanov — ATP Tennis match held on 2026-03-30. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Dimitar KuzmanovWINNER | 99% | 29% |
Stefano Travaglia | 1% | 71% |
Stefano Travaglia vs. Dimitar Kuzmanov was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Dimitar Kuzmanov led the market at 64% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Stefano Travaglia at 36%.
Dimitar Kuzmanov held the lead at 64% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Dimitar Kuzmanov, Stefano Travaglia at 36% were the next closest contenders. The 70.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Dimitar Kuzmanov: 99¢ on Kalshi, 29¢ on Polymarket. Stefano Travaglia: 1¢ on Kalshi, 71¢ on Polymarket. The 70.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 64¢ meant the market estimated a 64% chance that Dimitar Kuzmanov would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 64¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 56% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Dimitar Kuzmanov wins the Kuzmanov vs Travaglia professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Bucharest Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Kuzmanov vs Travaglia professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Bucharest Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Dimitar Kuzmanov and Stefano Travaglia in the Bucharest Open, Qualification, scheduled for March 29 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dimitar Kuzmanov' if Dimitar Kuzmanov advances against Stefano Travaglia. This market will resolve to 'Stefano Travaglia' if Stefano Travaglia advances against Dimitar Kuzmanov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Dimitar Kuzmanov
64.0% avg
