Live prediction market odds for Stefanos Tsitsipas vs. Fabian Marozsan. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-13
Stefanos Tsitsipas vs. Fabian Marozsan — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-13. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Stefanos Tsitsipas leads the “Stefanos Tsitsipas vs. Fabian Marozsan” event at 58.3% implied probability, followed by Fabian Marozsan at 41.3%. A 1.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Stefanos Tsitsipas vs. Fabian Marozsan is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Stefanos Tsitsipas leads at 58% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Fabian Marozsan at 41%.
Stefanos Tsitsipas currently leads at 58% implied probability. Behind Stefanos Tsitsipas, Fabian Marozsan at 41% are the next closest contenders. A 1.5% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Stefanos Tsitsipas: 58¢ on Kalshi, 59¢ on Polymarket. Fabian Marozsan: 42¢ on Kalshi, 41¢ on Polymarket. The 1.5% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 58¢ means the market estimates a 58% probability that Stefanos Tsitsipas will be the outcome. Buying one share at 58¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 72% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Fabian Marozsan wins the Marozsan vs Tsitsipas professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Munich Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Marozsan vs Tsitsipas professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Munich Round Of 32 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Fabian Marozsan and Stefanos Tsitsipas in the BMW Open, scheduled for April 13 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Fabian Marozsan' if Fabian Marozsan advances against Stefanos Tsitsipas. This market will resolve to 'Stefanos Tsitsipas' if Stefanos Tsitsipas advances against Fabian Marozsan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Stefanos Tsitsipas
58.3% avg
