Live prediction market odds for Sumit Nagal vs. Diego Dedura. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-12
Sumit Nagal vs. Diego Dedura — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-12. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Sumit Nagal is priced at 35.5% implied probability for the “Sumit Nagal vs. Diego Dedura” event. A 69.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Sumit Nagal vs. Diego Dedura is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Sumit Nagal leads at 36% implied probability, making it the market favorite.
Sumit Nagal currently leads at 36% implied probability. The 69.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Sumit Nagal: 1¢ on Kalshi, 70¢ on Polymarket. The 69.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 36¢ means the market estimates a 36% probability that Sumit Nagal will be the outcome. Buying one share at 36¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 178% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Sumit Nagal wins the Dedura-Palomero vs Nagal professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Munich Qualification Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Dedura-Palomero vs Nagal professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Munich Qualification Final after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Diego Dedura-Palomero and Sumit Nagal in the BMW Open, Qualification, scheduled for April 12 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Diego Dedura-Palomero' if Diego Dedura-Palomero advances against Sumit Nagal. This market will resolve to 'Sumit Nagal' if Sumit Nagal advances against Diego Dedura-Palomero. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sumit Nagal
35.5% avg
