Live prediction market odds for Taha Baadi vs. Aleksandar Vukic. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-03-29
Taha Baadi vs. Aleksandar Vukic — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-03-29. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Taha Baadi leads the “Taha Baadi vs. Aleksandar Vukic” event at 33.5% implied probability, followed by Aleksandar Vukic at 67.0%. A 40.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Taha Baadi vs. Aleksandar Vukic is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Taha Baadi leads at 34% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Aleksandar Vukic at 67%.
Taha Baadi currently leads at 34% implied probability. Behind Taha Baadi, Aleksandar Vukic at 67% are the next closest contenders. The 40.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Taha Baadi: 14¢ on Kalshi, 53¢ on Polymarket. Aleksandar Vukic: 87¢ on Kalshi, 47¢ on Polymarket. The 40.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 34¢ means the market estimates a 34% probability that Taha Baadi will be the outcome. Buying one share at 34¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 194% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
Taha Baadi
33.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Taha Baadi wins the Vukic vs Baadi professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Marrakech Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Vukic vs Baadi professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Marrakech Round Of 32 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Aleksandar Vukic and Taha Baadi in the Grand Prix Hassan II, scheduled for March 30 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aleksandar Vukic' if Aleksandar Vukic advances against Taha Baadi. This market will resolve to 'Taha Baadi' if Taha Baadi advances against Aleksandar Vukic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
