Live prediction market odds for Taha Baadi vs. Corentin Moutet. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-03-31
Taha Baadi vs. Corentin Moutet — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-03-31. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Corentin Moutet leads the “Taha Baadi vs. Corentin Moutet” event at 81.0% implied probability, followed by Taha Baadi at 21.0%. A 16.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Taha Baadi vs. Corentin Moutet is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Corentin Moutet leads at 81% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Taha Baadi at 21%.
Corentin Moutet currently leads at 81% implied probability. Behind Corentin Moutet, Taha Baadi at 21% are the next closest contenders. The 16.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Corentin Moutet: 89¢ on Kalshi, 73¢ on Polymarket. Taha Baadi: 15¢ on Kalshi, 27¢ on Polymarket. The 16.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 81¢ means the market estimates a 81% probability that Corentin Moutet will be the outcome. Buying one share at 81¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 23% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
Corentin Moutet
81.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Corentin Moutet wins the Moutet vs Baadi professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Marrakech Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Moutet vs Baadi professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Marrakech Round Of 16 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Corentin Moutet and Taha Baadi in the Grand Prix Hassan II, scheduled for April 1 2026. This market will resolve to “Moutet” if Corentin Moutet wins the first set. It will resolve to “Baadi” if Taha Baadi wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics.
