About This Market
ShareTerence Atmane vs. Ugo Humbert — ATP Tennis match held on 2026-04-25. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Terence Atmane vs. Ugo Humbert. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-04-25
This market resolved on 2026-04-25. Terence Atmane was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 51%.
Terence Atmane vs. Ugo Humbert — ATP Tennis match held on 2026-04-25. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|
Terence AtmaneWINNER | 99% | 2% |
Ugo Humbert | 1% | 98% |
Terence Atmane vs. Ugo Humbert was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Terence Atmane led the market at 51% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Ugo Humbert at 49%.
Terence Atmane held the lead at 51% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Terence Atmane, Ugo Humbert at 49% were the next closest contenders. The 96.8% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Terence Atmane: 99¢ on Kalshi, 2¢ on Polymarket. Ugo Humbert: 1¢ on Kalshi, 98¢ on Polymarket. The 96.8% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 51¢ meant the market estimated a 51% chance that Terence Atmane would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 51¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 96% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Ugo Humbert wins the Humbert vs Atmane professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Madrid Round Of 64 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Humbert vs Atmane professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Madrid Round Of 64 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Ugo Humbert and Terence Atmane in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 25, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ugo Humbert' if Ugo Humbert advances against Terence Atmane. This market will resolve to 'Terence Atmane' if Terence Atmane advances against Ugo Humbert. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Terence Atmane
50.6% avg