Live prediction market odds for Thiago Agustin Tirante vs. Roberto Bautista Agut. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-22
Thiago Agustin Tirante vs. Roberto Bautista Agut — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-22. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Thiago Agustin Tirante leads the “Thiago Agustin Tirante vs. Roberto Bautista Agut” event at 61.8% implied probability, followed by Roberto Bautista Agut at 38.5%. A 1.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Thiago Agustin Tirante vs. Roberto Bautista Agut is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Thiago Agustin Tirante leads at 62% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Roberto Bautista Agut at 39%.
Thiago Agustin Tirante currently leads at 62% implied probability. Behind Thiago Agustin Tirante, Roberto Bautista Agut at 39% are the next closest contenders. A 1.5% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Thiago Agustin Tirante: 63¢ on Kalshi, 61¢ on Polymarket. Roberto Bautista Agut: 38¢ on Kalshi, 39¢ on Polymarket. The 1.5% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 62¢ means the market estimates a 62% probability that Thiago Agustin Tirante will be the outcome. Buying one share at 62¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 61% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Thiago Agustin Tirante wins the Bautista Agut vs Tirante professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Madrid Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Bautista Agut vs Tirante professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Madrid Round Of 128 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Roberto Bautista Agut and Thiago Agustin Tirante in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 22, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Roberto Bautista Agut' if Roberto Bautista Agut advances against Thiago Agustin Tirante. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Agustin Tirante' if Thiago Agustin Tirante advances against Roberto Bautista Agut. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thiago Agustin Tirante
61.8% avg
