Live prediction market odds for Thiago Agustin Tirante vs. Toby Samuel. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-24
Thiago Agustin Tirante vs. Toby Samuel — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-24. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Toby Samuel leads the “Thiago Agustin Tirante vs. Toby Samuel” event at 59.0% implied probability, followed by Thiago Agustin Tirante at 41.5%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
Thiago Agustin Tirante vs. Toby Samuel is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Toby Samuel leads at 59% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Thiago Agustin Tirante at 42%.
Toby Samuel currently leads at 59% implied probability. Behind Toby Samuel, Thiago Agustin Tirante at 42% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Toby Samuel: 59¢ on Kalshi, 59¢ on Polymarket. Thiago Agustin Tirante: 42¢ on Kalshi, 41¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 59¢ means the market estimates a 59% probability that Toby Samuel will be the outcome. Buying one share at 59¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 69% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Toby Samuel wins the Samuel vs Tirante professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Eastbourne Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Samuel vs Tirante professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Eastbourne Round Of 16 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Toby Samuel and Thiago Agustin Tirante in the Lexus Eastbourne Open, originally scheduled for June 24, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Toby Samuel' if Toby Samuel advances against Thiago Agustin Tirante. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Agustin Tirante' if Thiago Agustin Tirante advances against Toby Samuel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Toby Samuel
59.0% avg
