Live prediction market odds for Titouan Droguet vs. Sebastian Baez. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-02
Titouan Droguet vs. Sebastian Baez — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-02. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Sebastian Baez leads the “Titouan Droguet vs. Sebastian Baez” event at 36.3% implied probability, followed by Titouan Droguet at 63.8%. A 70.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Titouan Droguet vs. Sebastian Baez is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Sebastian Baez leads at 36% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Titouan Droguet at 64%.
Sebastian Baez currently leads at 36% implied probability. Behind Sebastian Baez, Titouan Droguet at 64% are the next closest contenders. The 70.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Sebastian Baez: 1¢ on Kalshi, 72¢ on Polymarket. Titouan Droguet: 99¢ on Kalshi, 29¢ on Polymarket. The 70.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 36¢ means the market estimates a 36% probability that Sebastian Baez will be the outcome. Buying one share at 36¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 178% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Sebastian Baez
36.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Titouan Droguet wins the Baez vs Droguet professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Bucharest Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Baez vs Droguet professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Bucharest Round Of 16 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Sebastian Baez and Titouan Droguet in the Bucharest Open, scheduled for April 2 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Baez' if Sebastian Baez advances against Titouan Droguet. This market will resolve to 'Titouan Droguet' if Titouan Droguet advances against Sebastian Baez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
