Live prediction market odds for Toby Samuel vs. Arthur Fery. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-15
Toby Samuel vs. Arthur Fery — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-15. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Arthur Fery leads the “Toby Samuel vs. Arthur Fery” event at 57.5% implied probability, followed by Toby Samuel at 43.0%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
Toby Samuel vs. Arthur Fery is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Arthur Fery leads at 58% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Toby Samuel at 43%.
Arthur Fery currently leads at 58% implied probability. Behind Arthur Fery, Toby Samuel at 43% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Arthur Fery: 58¢ on Kalshi, 57¢ on Polymarket. Toby Samuel: 43¢ on Kalshi, 43¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 58¢ means the market estimates a 58% probability that Arthur Fery will be the outcome. Buying one share at 58¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 72% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Arthur Fery wins the Fery vs Samuel professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP London Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Fery vs Samuel professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP London Round Of 32 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Fery and Toby Samuel in the HSBC Championships, originally scheduled for June 15, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Fery' if Arthur Fery advances against Toby Samuel. This market will resolve to 'Toby Samuel' if Toby Samuel advances against Arthur Fery. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Arthur Fery
57.5% avg
