Live prediction market odds for Toby Samuel vs. Jakub Mensik. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-30
Toby Samuel vs. Jakub Mensik — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-30. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Jakub Mensik leads the “Toby Samuel vs. Jakub Mensik” event at 69.0% implied probability, followed by Toby Samuel at 31.3%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread.
Toby Samuel vs. Jakub Mensik is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Jakub Mensik leads at 69% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Toby Samuel at 31%.
Jakub Mensik currently leads at 69% implied probability. Behind Jakub Mensik, Toby Samuel at 31% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Jakub Mensik: 69¢ on Kalshi, 69¢ on Polymarket. Toby Samuel: 32¢ on Kalshi, 31¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 69¢ means the market estimates a 69% probability that Jakub Mensik will be the outcome. Buying one share at 69¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 45% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Jakub Mensik
69.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Toby Samuel wins the Mensik vs Samuel professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Men Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Mensik vs Samuel professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Men Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Jakub Mensik and Toby Samuel in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jakub Mensik' if Jakub Mensik advances against Toby Samuel. This market will resolve to 'Toby Samuel' if Toby Samuel advances against Jakub Mensik. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
